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Meta Shares Fall 7% as AI Spending, Dilution Risk and Legal Penalty Weigh on Stock

Meta fell 7% as AI spending, Class C dilution risk and a $25B New Mexico penalty weighed on the stock.

The report said Meta plans to create new Class C non-voting shares that it can use to fund AI infrastructure. Each holder of voting Class A shares would receive one Class C share, effectively splitting the stock. If Meta later sells Class C shares in a secondary offering, existing shareholders would face dilution. A Wednesday securities filing indicated such a move could be coming and that the scale of fundraising in coming years may be larger than some investors initially thought, according to CNBC. Meta's free cash flow turned negative in the third quarter. The filing said the scale of investment required to compete, sustain growth, expand infrastructure and pursue new initiatives amid AI-related changes is unprecedented, CNBC reported.

CNBC also laid out the potential dilution math: at a $650 share price, Meta would need to sell about 15.4 million shares to raise $10 billion. With about 2.7 billion shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, that sale would result in about 0.567% dilution; a $100 billion initial secondary sale would mean more than 5% dilution.

Legal risks added to the pressure. A New Mexico judge on Wednesday ordered Meta to pay a $25 billion penalty related to the Cambridge Analytica data privacy scandal. Meta intends to appeal, CNBC reported. The order came less than two months after Meta settled with a coalition of state attorneys general over a lawsuit focused on youth mental health and social media usage. Meta took a $9.89 billion legal settlement charge in its just-reported third quarter. Data centers have also drawn pushback from community residents and politicians during the election cycle, with midterm elections less than two weeks away, CNBC reported.

CNBC argued the selloff may be a mistake, using the poker concept of a kicker to weigh the bear and bull cases. It said Meta's fundamentals are arguably as strong as ever: the Muse personal agent app launched on Sept. 8 is off to an incredible start, and AI model investments are strengthening the core Family of Apps business. CFO Susan Li said on the earnings call that Meta had begun moving its content understanding models onto its first-party Muse model family, according to CNBC.

The report said that with Thursday's decline, Meta shares have given up nearly all their gains since the Muse launch. CNBC framed the question for investors as whether Meta's kicker is a deuce or a trillion-dollar ace in the hole.